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Multipolarity gives middle powers more choices, but fewer guarantees

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Multipolarity gives middle powers more choices, but fewer guarantees
Image · Al Jazeera

What the report says

Al Jazeera published an opinion analysis on September 5, 2026, arguing that the move toward a multipolar world is giving middle powers more diplomatic and economic options, but not reliable security guarantees. The article uses the recent Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, as a key example: the SCO condemned attacks on Iran and backed its sovereignty, yet did not offer a military defence commitment.

The piece says this reflects a broader pattern in which states can deepen ties with multiple blocs and institutions without having to choose one camp exclusively. It cites Turkiye as a NATO member that also works with Russia and China, and Brazil as a country seeking room to cooperate with both the United States and China while resisting pressure to align automatically with either side. India and several Gulf states are presented as pursuing similar diversification through BRICS, the SCO, the Quad, and bilateral relationships.

The author argues that these overlapping partnerships can reduce the cost of saying no to a major power, but they also leave countries more exposed in a crisis because groups like BRICS and the SCO are not collective defence alliances. In this view, the emerging order is less about replacing U.S. leadership with a single rival bloc and more about a fluid system where states gain bargaining power, but must take greater responsibility for their own security.

Read the full report at Al Jazeera →

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